Choose a probability distribution to sample Nov 28, 2016 · Let's try this. 5)(0. 概率论是一门用数学语言来刻画这些随机事件的学科。. 79\). 1% (so a 99. 75. 2. QUESTION 1 The table below contains data on superhero sightings. Statistics and Probability questions and answers. Then, \(P(\overline{A}) = 1 - 0. Let A be the event that he sees a falcon so P(A) = 0. It's 1,023 over 1,024. In Statistics, the probability distribution gives the possibility of each outcome of a random experiment or event. 25 2. Let's go back to an example that we've seen before. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur. X is a geometric rv if it is the number of trials until we see a success. Level up on all the skills in this unit and collect up to 600 Mastery points! Start Unit test. Oct 27, 2022 · Through probability distribution, we find out that Pamela will see 1 red car and 1 green car on her way to work. What is the probability of getting a number at least 5 or greater when a fair six-sided die is rolled? What is the probability of getting 1 or 5 when a fair six-sided die is rolled? We roll two dice simultaneously, what is the probability of the following events: a) getting sum divisible by 6. The measured probability will heavily depend on whether the given events are independent or dependent. 3 x 0. 667% or chance odds of 1/6. Using Mike Bostock’s versatile JavaScript library D3. It only states the maximum value that could be the probability of seeing the data, not the actual probability a hypothesis is true or false. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1 (inclusive). Download a draft of our pdf below. This will prepare you for the questions and you can understand the methodology to solve them. Both are true since three percent is less than five percent. The total number of Finch = 20 The probability of this happening is 1 out of 10 lakhs. It is easy to see why adding the probability actually makes sense. The value is expressed from zero to one. And the conditional probability, that he eats a bagel for breakfast given that he eats a pizza for lunch, so probability of event A happening, that he eats a bagel for breakfast, given that he's had a pizza for lunch is equal to 0. Multiplication Rule for “And” Probabilities: Independent Events. The probability of seeing heads on a given flip is 1/4. Probability. Dive into the tradition and science of lookalikes and discover your odds of finding one yourself. Question 31. Figure 1: The true probability of a head is 1/2 for a fair coin. Select a college. If you're curious about the mathematical ins and outs of probability, you've come to the right unit! Here, we'll take a deep dive into the many ways we can calculate the likelihood of different outcomes. Statistics and Probability; Statistics and Probability questions and answers; 1. The best we can say is how likely they are to happen, using the idea of probability. If the probability of an event is 0, then the event is impossible. 25 = 0. Take 1/36 to get the decimal and multiple by 100 to get the percentage: 1/36 = 0. Probability means possibility. It is a branch of mathematics that deals with the occurrence of a random event. Probabilities for the Normal Distribution. For example, you know there's a one in two chance of tossing heads on a coin, so the probability is 50%. The coin flip probability calculator will automatically calculate the chance of your event happening. Remark: The probability of seeing at least one shooting star in half an hour cannot be $0. Authors. 5 and tail has prob = 0. Nonetheless, the p-value isn’t a probability. If you flip the coin 5 times, what is the probability that you see at least 3 tails?, A can finish a job in 100 min, B can finish the same job in 120 min. Daniel. Now let us take into account the case of coin tossing to understand probability in a better way. 看见统计由Daniel Kunin在布朗大学读本科的时候开始制作。. 1- 5! 1!(5 - 1)! 0. We are currently working on a textbook for Seeing Theory. Seeing that this is a more complex topic than the earlier topics of probability, make sure to refresher your knowledge on the following: Understand how we calculate probabilities of a single event. In this case, there are 3 yellow marbles and a total of 8 marbles. Video transcript. So all we really have to determine is the probability that he sees a window open on a given day. Find the probability of getting exactly two heads. In general, the higher the probability of an event, the more likely it is that the event will occur. Probability of Tossing Coin. Plus, you'll play with simulations and randomness to see how it all works in real life. The odds of picking up any other card are therefore 52/52 – 4/52 4 days ago · (Optional) If your heads and tails don't have the same probability of happening, set the right number in the Probability of heads field. a) 0. 01, and the probability of seeing smoke in that area is 0. Probability is the mathematical term for the likelihood that something will occur, such as drawing an ace from a deck of cards or picking a green piece of candy from a bag of assorted colors. Statistics and Probability; Statistics and Probability questions and answers; Exercise 1. Introduction to Probability for Data Science (Stanley Chan) This book is an introductory textbook in undergraduate probability in the context of data science to emphasize the inseparability between data (computing) and probability (theory) in our time, with examples in both MATLAB and Python. We see probabilities almost every day in our real lives. Our college acceptance calculator can help you understand your chances of getting accepted into any college in the country, and it’s completely free. And you can get a calculator out to figure that out in terms of a percentage. Test Scores and High School GPA for. I want the formula/model to solve this so I am able to calculate the probabilities with variables of different values. By Sam Walters. js, Seeing Theory visualizes the fundamental concepts covered in the standard introductory college or Advanced Placement course in classical statistics. Cengage Learning, Jun 23, 2004 - Mathematics - 584 pages. Probability tells us how often some event will happen after many repeated trials. Few things are certain in life. Feb 5, 2020 · It’s easy to see, for example, that your fifth role yields your first 6 with probability 5 4 /6 5. Khan Academy is a nonprofit with the mission of providing a free, world-class education for anyone, anywhere. 5 months ago. During the summer months of May, June and July it is just too bright to see them in the far northland. Seeing Theory is a project designed and created by Daniel Kunin with support from Brown University's Royce Fellowship Program. Figure 3: A sequence of 100 flips happened to contain 45 heads. Accepted. For example, let’s say that a device use a specific part 10 times in different places. 9. The probability of a given part failing before 5 years is 0. 7$. Right Bound (Rb): Chance and probability essentially have the same meaning, but you will see the word "probability" more than the word "chance" in mathematics. 105. For this reason it is important to be familiar with the algebra of sets. - [Voiceover] What I hope to do in this video is give ourselves a more intuitive sense of probabilities. From using simulations to the addition and multiplication rules, we'll build a solid foundation that will Seeing Theory was created by Daniel Kunin while an undergraduate at Brown University. The columns contain data on which superhero appeared, and the rows contain data on which city a hero was seen in Use this data to answer the following questions Here City Superman Batman Green Lantem Metropolis 67 29 29 Gotham 14 94 33 Coast Oy For example, the probability that a fair coin shows "heads" after being flipped is 1 / 2 ‍ . 1) Getting three Heads From the tree diagram, we can see that only one outcome corresponds to the event of getting all three heads. For examples of how to use the formula, see: conditional probability. 9% chance they will work for 5 years or more). You must keep in mind the formula for calculating an expected value given the table that displays the probability distribution of Pamela seeing red and green cars on her route to work: ∑. Furthermore, suppose the probability that a fire causes visible smoke is 0. results from each trial are independent from each other. e X = 0) is: P(X = 0) = μ⁰ * e^-(15λ) / 0! = 1 / e^(15λ The math becomes that the propability of a clear night with northern lights is 0. 25 since a head has prob = 0. Probability of a Normal Distribution. 25 + 0. Conceptualizing probability as psychological distance, the authors draw on construal level theory (Y. With a classic six-sided die the probability of seeing any particular face is 16. The probability of seeing 0 events (i. Jan 2, 2021 · From this point, you can use your probability tree diagram to draw several conclusions such as: · The probability of getting heads first and tails second is 0. 5 = 0. 25) = 0. 9(5-1) 1!(5 - 1)! b. Oct 23, 2021 · The same applies to temperature guesstimates, along with chances of snow, hail, or thunderstorms. 666 b) 0. Consider the experiment of tossing three separate fair coins (and seeing which side comes up on each coin). Thereby we can say that as Dave is to roll a die 60 times, he should expect 10 of <p>The normal (or Gaussian) distribution has a bell-shaped density function and is used in the sciences to represent real-valued random variables that are assumed to be additively produced by many small effects. If you are more advanced in probability theory and calculations, you definitely have to deal with SMp(x) distribution , which takes into account the combination of several discrete and continuous probability The probability of event B, that he eats a pizza for lunch, is 0. 一个随机事件的概率是一个介于0与1之间的实数，这个实数的大小反映了这个事件发生的可能性。. The goal of this website is to make statistics more accessible through interactive visualizations (designed using Mike Bostock’s JavaScript library D3. All of the above are "at least one bad chip" cases. The Team. Mean: (µ) Standard Deviation (σ): Left Bound (Lb): For negative infinite, use -inf. This applet may be used to find approximate probabilities from the normal distribution. We will now see some common probability problems that are given in school tests. Remember that in classical probability, the likelihood cannot be smaller than 0 or larger than 1. In other words, the probability of event B happening, given that event A happens. Playing Cards. You've experienced probability when you've flipped a coin, rolled some dice, or looked at a weather forecast. For example, we can represent the event "roll an even number" by the set {2, 4, 6}. Change the Mean and StDev values as appropriate for your particular problem. Trope & N. The probability of getting "heads," given that it's a Tuesday, is still 1 / 2 ‍ . 33. 我们正在把Seeing Theory的内容集结成书，欢迎点击下方链接下载最新的英语版本 Oct 16, 2015 · The probability that you see a car pass by in 1 minute is 1/4. Exercise 1. js 制作。. ‍. Jessica Utts. 2), generated in Python using scipy. If it was a real alien, the probability of the footage would be 1. 98 * 0. When a coin is tossed, there are two possible outcomes: Heads (H) or Tails (T) Also: the probability of the coin landing H is ½; the probability of the coin landing T is ½ . In other words, to actually see the lights on any random night has about one in ten chance. Then multiply by the 2 outcomes that have one Head to get 2(0. There is a 65% chance of rain today, or a pre-election poll shows that 52% of Probability formula with the conditional rule: When event A is already known to have occurred, the probability of event B is known as conditional probability and is given by: P(B∣A) = P(A∩B)/P(A) Probability formula with multiplication rule : Whenever an event is the intersection of two other events, that is, events A and B need to occur Jan 13, 2024 · Seeing Theory was created by Daniel Kunin, a mathematics and computer science student at Brown University, in collaboration with the Brown University Department of Applied Mathematics. js ). To get probabilities out of a tree diagram, we multiply the probabilities along the branches. Use the calculator below to find the area P shown in the normal distribution, as well as the confidence intervals for a range of confidence levels. There is a probability of getting a desired card when we randomly pick one out of 52. Flag. ) The probability that the alternative hypothesis is truec. 34. 21 = 0. ) The probability of seeing data as extreme as the sample statistic, assuming 22323. Generalizing this into a formula is no problem. Unit test. We’d like to emphasize that the results of this calculator, and any other admissions prediction tool, should be Apr 24, 2017 · Imagine that the p-value is less than five percent. Probability Distribution. Your solution’s ready to go! Our expert help has broken down your problem into an easy-to-learn solution you can count on. Considering. To recall, the probability is a measure of uncertainty of various phenomena. Let X be a random variable for the number of games with at least one triple play in a season, assuming that there are 2430 games. Probability theory or probability calculus is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Let's define the following probabilities: P(A) = probability of seeing the magazine ad = 1/50; P(B) = probability of seeing the television ad Jan 11, 2022 · The probability of seeing a falcon near the lake during a day of bird watching is 0. The prob. 我们致力于用数据可视化让统计概念更容易理解。. Probability of an Event Not Occurring: If you want to find the probability of an event not happening, you subtract the probability of the event happening from 1. Mar 19, 2024 8:00 AMMar 19, 2024 8:01 AM. There are many different polyhedral dice included, so you can explore the likelihood of a 20-sided die as well as that of a regular cubic die. 5. Liberman, 2003) to propose that decreasing an event's probability leads individuals to represent the event by its central, abstract, general features (high-level construal) rather than by its peripheral, concrete, specific features (low-level construal). Go deeper with your understanding of probability as you learn about theoretical, experimental, and compound probability, and investigate permutations, combinations, and more! Probability theory. Sports outcomes. 1. Suppose there is a 65% of seeing dolphins and a 10% chance of seeing both dolphins and whales (a) Construct a Venn diagram and a corresponding two-way table for the events and give the probability of each part: (b) What is the probability of a whale on the cruise? (c) What is the probability of seeing a whale but not a dolphin? The probability of rolling any given number with a single die on a single roll is equal to one divided by the number of die faces. 8. 95 is the probability for 1 or more cars, not the probability of seeing just one car. c) getting sum ≤ 4. May 16, 2024 · Common Probability Problems. The denominator expresses the total number of possible events in a given situation while the numerator expresses the number of ways that the indicated event can happen. Figure 2: A sequence of 10 flips hap-pened to contain 3 head. Where "x" denotes a result and "p" denotes Aug 1, 2021 · We visualized the data using stacked bar plots of counts for PH-Y and PH-N (illustrated in salmon and gray, respectively), with a logistic regression of the probability of seeing PH for each imagery vividness rating overlaid in blue (see Fig. Abstract. Liberman, 2003) to propose that decreasing an event's probability leads individuals to represent the event by its central, abstract, general features (high-level construal) rather than by its peripheral, concrete, specific Statistics and Probability; Statistics and Probability questions and answers; 3. Coconino Community College. 455)$, which is well short of $0. 86. ) The probability the null hypothesis is trueb. Show more Here to find at least 1 defective chip, why P (SSSD) = 0. 07763183999999998. The empirical frequency of heads is thus 3/10, which is quite different from 1/2. ”. The platform offers 18 interactive visualizations that explain fundamental concepts in statistics, such as probability, random variables, statistical inference May 11, 2023 · The probability of a hiker seeing a Finch and then a warbler would be = 1/10. The probability density function \ ( f (x) \) is shown in yellow and the cumulative distribution function \ ( F (x) \) in orange (controlled by the slider). 1' 0. Awards & Press. of NO cars in 30 minutes is 0. There are six possibilities. Aurora Borealis season in northern polar latitudes (Alaska, northern Canada, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Finland and Siberia) runs from August-thru-April. Learn for free about math, art, computer programming, economics, physics, chemistry, biology, medicine, finance, history, and more. Just find your location on the mini-map and see if the theoretical Aurora (in green/orange/red) extends over the location you’re interested in! The color legend is at the bottom of each image (green = lower probability ranging from 0-50%; yellow-orange = higher probability ranging from 50-90%; red = highest probability, over 90%). Assuming the parts fail independently, we can calculate the probability that all 10 parts in the device will work for at least 5 years: Probability is the study of events and how likely they are to happen. Once a trope of folktales and literature, the doppelgänger is now a subject of scientific study. According to the MLB statistics, the probability of seeing at least one triple play in a randomly chosen baseball game is 0. Then click on the "Calculate" button to Jan 8, 2024 · P (A or O) = P (A) + P (O) = 0. Enter your SAT/ACT scores and GPA to see where you fall on the acceptance scatterplot. To find the probability of pulling a yellow marble from the bag, you need to determine the ratio of the number of yellow marbles to the total number of marbles in the bag. Jun 8, 2021 · Now imagine I see every TV channel showing footage of a green blob demanding an audience with the UN Secretary General. These are the nights with darkness in them. 25. What is the probability that you see a car pass by in 30 seconds? My Answer: P (seeing a car in 1 min) = P (either see a car in first 30 or second 30s) = P (see a car in first 30 seconds) + P (see a car in second 30 seconds) which implies 2p = 1/4, hence p =1/8, where p (see a car Many events can't be predicted with total certainty. Here we were interested to illustrate the different In contrast to point estimators, confidence intervals estimate a parameter by specifying a range of possible values. Auroras can still be spotted south Jun 23, 2004 · Seeing Through Statistics. Sometimes this fraction is converted to a decimal or a Statistics and Probability questions and answers. Mar 19, 2024 · Revealing The Strange Science of Seeing Double. A Bernoulli random variable takes the value 1 with probability of \ (p\) and the value 0 with probability of \ (1-p\). CampusReel’s college acceptance and admissions calculator uses up-to-date acceptance and enrollment numbers, GPAs and test scores to accurately predict your likelihood of acceptance at more than 2,000 colleges across the country. What is the likelihood that the Fed will change the Federal target rate at upcoming FOMC meetings, according to interest rate traders? Use CME FedWatch to track the probabilities of changes to the Fed rate, as implied by 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices. Most times you pick up the newspaper or read the news on the internet, you encounter probability. 44 = 0. Results indicated that when Apr 30, 2017 · To summarize, it is the probability of seeing at least (X) consecutive losing trades within a 50-trade period, given a list of defined winning percentages. For example, the probability of picking up an ace in a 52 deck of cards is 4/52; since there are 4 aces in the deck. In this unit, you'll learn the basics of probability, like counting and combining things to find the chance of something happening. Such an interval is associated with a confidence level, which is the probability that the procedure used to generate the interval will produce an interval containing the true parameter. Since E = f2,4,6g, Jul 18, 2011 · A:The trick here is that . You roll a fair die 5 times. Get ready to become a probability pro! Dec 27, 2018 · Statistics and Probability . This is just one of the probability examples in real life that can help you in your day-to-day life. 91$. You use probability in daily life to make decisions when you don't know for sure what the outcome will be. Given the event that you observe at least one head in the sequence of three flips, what is the probability of seeing exactly two heads? Probability using combinatorics. 02 is not used. 455$. In other words, for an event A W, the probability of A is P(A) = å w2A P(w). · The probability of getting at least one tails from two consecutive flips is 0. This coin flip probability calculator lets you determine the probability of getting a certain number of heads after you flip a coin a given number of times. For example, with a 20-sided die, the odds of rolling 20 is 1/20 or a 5% chance. Review what complementary probabilities are. daniella. 4 d) 0. It is frequently used to represent binary experiments, such as a coin A set, broadly defined, is a collection of objects. Question: Which of the following helps to describe the interpretation of a pvalue of a test? The p-value can be thought of as the probability of seeing the point estimates IF the null is true The p-value can be thought of as the probability If today is B, what is the expected number of days before seeing another B?, You flip a weighted coin that comes up H with probability 0. 455)(0. Drag or click (the closest edge will jump to the click location) on the graph to change the starting and ending values for the shaded area. Here's a summary of our general strategy for binomial probability: P ( # of successes getting exactly some) = ( arrangements # of) ⋅ ( of success probability) ( successes # of) ⋅ ( of failure probability) ( failures # of) Using the example from Problem 1: n = 3. B= individual purchased the product S= individual recalls seeing the advertisement B∩S= individual Jan 7, 2018 · 0. 0278 x 100 = 2. , n –1) are each not-6 A visual introduction to probability and statistics. What is the probability that a birdwatcher will see a falcon at least once in eight trips to the lake? Solution. Total sum of their probabilities is approx. The word "chance" is more informal than the word "probability". For on the usual assumption of independence, the probability of seeing at least one shooting star in an hour would be $0. Jan 1, 2022 · At first, let’s see the first statement — In any 15-minute interval, there is a 20% probability that you will see at least one shooting star. 42 + 0. Question: Suppose the probability of there being a fire in a particular area is 0. So the result of a coin flip and the day being Tuesday are Mar 10, 2023 · The closer the probability is to zero, the less likely it is to happen, and the closer the probability is to one, the more likely it is to happen. Rejected. MEDIA: Please attribute rate probabilities used in your reporting to “CME FedWatch. 6. The outcome itself is (0. So, the average number of events in the interval is 15λ. Maxie Inigo, Jennifer Jameson, Kathryn Kozak, Maya Lanzetta, & Kim Sonier. 因此，概率为0意味着这个事件不可能发生（不可能事件），概率为1意味着这个事件必然发生（必然事件 Conceptualizing probability as psychological distance, the authors draw on construal level theory (Y. Probability has been introduced in Maths to predict how likely events are to happen. stats. [note 1] [1] [2] A simple example is the tossing of a fair (unbiased) coin. ) Put in how many flips you made, how many heads came up, the probability of heads coming up, and the type of probability. We're rolling a fair six-sided die. How to calculate the probability of the given events? To calculate the probability of the given event, the formula for the probability should be used which is given below; Probability = possible outcome/sample space. You'll explore rules for independent and dependent events, and dive into conditional probability. 35 = 0. Apr 8, 2024 · To find the percentage of a determined probability, simply convert the resulting number by 100. 4 and T with probability 0. Use the set constructor below to build a set, then probability of an event is the sum of the probabilities of the outcomes it comprises. In the context of probability theory, we use set notation to specify compound events. This text focuses on the key concepts that educated citizens need 5 days ago · The function that describes the probability of seeing a result from a given range of values is called the probability density function. (3) To illustrate this equation, let us find the probability of rolling an even number, an event which we will denote by E. (It also works for tails. For example, in the example for calculating the probability of rolling a “6” on two dice: P (A and B) = 1/6 x 1/6 = 1/36. If events A and B are independent events, then P(A and B) = P(A) ⋅ P(B). Seeing and Understanding Data. 7, which is interesting. If the chance of seeing the elusive Virginia Rail is 10% for any given birding trip, and you take 5 trips trying to see this bird, what is the probability that you won't see this species at all? 5! a. The goal of the project is to make statistics more accessible to a wider range of students through interactive visualizations. Beverly Wood, Charlotte, "Seeing and Understanding Data" (2018). Statistics and Probability questions and answers; A biased coin is flipped three times in a row, where the flips are independent of one another. 5) = 0. The meaning of probability is basically the extent to which something is likely to happen. If 42% of the population has blood type A and 44% of the population has blood type O, This reasoning about why the addition rule makes sense can be visualized using the pie chart below: Oct 29, 2023 · Definition: Independent Events. 455+0. So the probability of pulling a yellow marble is 3/8. (数据可视化使用Mike Bostock的javascript库 D3. Throwing Dice The probability of seeing exactly 1 Head is 2/4 because you count both ways it can happen and then multiply by the probability of each outcome. This third edition of Jessica Utts’ popular book develops statistical literacy and critical thinking through real-world applications, with an emphasis on ideas, not calculations. Our expert help has broken down your problem into an easy-to-learn solution you can count on. 1. Statistics and Probability. 4. Here, the interval is of 15 minutes. See Answer. It provides the probabilities of different possible occurrences. 5ptsIn each case, indicate whether the statement is a true interpretation of what a P-value means:a. 05, so the prob of no cars in 10 minutes is the cube root of that, so the prob of seeing a car in 10 minutes is one minus that , or ~63% Probability is the branch of mathematics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. What is the probability of seeing a “full house” in the sense of seeing three rolls of one type, and two rolls of another different type? Note that we do not allow for all five rolls to be of the same type. This means that if we roll a die 60 times we can expect each of the six faces to come up an equal amount of times, which would be 60 ∕ 6 = 10. A large consumer goods company ran a television advertisement for one of its soap products. 78%. Let's say that each day is a trial, and let's say that him seeing you open a window is a success. That is option C. Coaches use probability to decide the best possible strategy to pursue in a game. Here’s the best way to solve it. 奖项&媒体. Two events are independent events if the occurrence of one event has no effect on the probability of the occurrence of the other event. 21. Sign up to get started. 9(5-1) 5! c. So let me write this down. The probability of seeing at least one is therefore $0. What if we knew the day was Tuesday? Does this change the probability of getting "heads?" Of course not. Jan 18, 2024 · The dice probability calculator is a great tool if you want to estimate the dice roll probability over numerous variants. Typically these axioms formalise probability Dec 21, 2020 · By Kristine Tucker. 375 c) 0. The total of all the probabilities for an event is equal to one. b) getting a total of at least 9. Where the number of rolls is n , and 6 happens on the n th roll (with probability 1/6), and all the rolls before that (i. e. Kunin. 团队. Seeing Theory was created by Daniel Kunin while an undergraduate at Brown University. Also read, events in probability, here. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set of axioms. Classical Probability (Equally Likely Outcomes): To find the probability of an event happening, you divide the number of ways the event can happen by the total number of possible outcomes. In a nutshell, it gives you the actual There are six faces on a die and each face has the same probability (1 ∕ 6) of coming up whenever we roll the die. On the other hand, an event with probability 1 is certain to occur. Actually, let me just do that just for fun. 5x0. Bayes Formula P(A|B) = P(B|A) · P(A) / P(B) Bayes’ theorem is a way to figure out conditional probability, although it is slightly more nuanced. So, just evaluate the odds, and play a game! Conceptualizing probability as psychological distance, the authors draw on construal level theory (Y. This likelihood is usually expressed as a fraction. 3%. 0. Continuing to assume that the conditions on consecutive nights are unrelated, to have a fifty-fifty chance to see the display at least on one night, you Sep 17, 2023 · To find the probability that a randomly selected potential customer will purchase the product, we need to consider the probabilities of the customer seeing the ad on the magazine, on television, or both. A) Tossing a Coin So if you flip a coin 10 times in a row-- a fair coin-- you're probability of getting at least 1 heads in that 10 flips is pretty high. . 98 to the 3rd would tell you the probability of getting 3 good chips out of 3 picks. 455 -(0. We could get a one, a two, a three, a four, a five or a six. Tossing a Coin. On the basis of a survey that was conducted, probabilities were assigned to the following events. ym fb cn lk tf ww wq pm em tv